Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.004831 0.005317 0.005841 0.006450 0.007142 0.007904 0.008812
2025-09-28 0.003964 0.004619 0.005379 0.006333 0.007509 0.008925 0.010779
2025-10-05 0.003512 0.004248 0.005145 0.006330 0.007880 0.009868 0.012664
2025-10-12 0.003238 0.004037 0.005047 0.006444 0.008362 0.010960 0.014852
2025-10-19 0.002958 0.003777 0.004846 0.006377 0.008566 0.011673 0.016588
2025-10-26 0.002737 0.003567 0.004682 0.006329 0.008772 0.012389 0.018408
2025-11-02 0.002534 0.003363 0.004501 0.006229 0.008878 0.012949 0.020048
2025-11-09 0.002398 0.003237 0.004416 0.006254 0.009163 0.013808 0.022300
2025-11-16 0.002253 0.003086 0.004281 0.006187 0.009289 0.014415 0.024200
2025-11-23 0.002105 0.002920 0.004109 0.006045 0.009275 0.014775 0.025695
2025-11-30 0.002025 0.002848 0.004071 0.006107 0.009601 0.015760 0.028547
2025-12-07 0.001976 0.002819 0.004096 0.006271 0.010115 0.017141 0.032458
2025-12-14 0.001858 0.002681 0.003947 0.006145 0.010122 0.017614 0.034633
2025-12-21 0.001752 0.002557 0.003813 0.006034 0.010149 0.018141 0.037068
2025-12-28 0.001679 0.002478 0.003745 0.006032 0.010377 0.019095 0.040720
2026-01-04 0.001632 0.002439 0.003741 0.006139 0.010824 0.020570 0.046029
2026-01-11 0.001558 0.002351 0.003647 0.006076 0.010925 0.021311 0.049621
2026-01-18 0.001494 0.002275 0.003568 0.006031 0.011056 0.022139 0.053672
2026-01-25 0.001426 0.002189 0.003467 0.005937 0.011075 0.022704 0.057121
2026-02-01 0.001381 0.002141 0.003429 0.005960 0.011344 0.023911 0.062887
2026-02-08 0.001327 0.002072 0.003350 0.005897 0.011417 0.024642 0.067367
2026-02-15 0.001265 0.001989 0.003241 0.005763 0.011319 0.024926 0.070439
2026-02-22 0.001236 0.001959 0.003226 0.005822 0.011667 0.026433 0.078354